Will the two posthumous releases split votes? Will fans go for the current smash album, or an older but still successful one? Or will the male artists divide support and allow for the only female nominee to win? I’m going with Drake here and hoping for the best.
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And finally you have Megan Thee Stallion (“Good News”), who could benefit from having a lot of voting fans among the younger AMAs demographic. Then you have “Certified Lover Boy,” which is the most current smash hit on the charts and by such a known crossover-appealing artist like Drake. However, that is also true of Juice Wrld, who died in December 2019 and is nominated here for “Legends Never Die” he already won posthumously last year for Favorite Hip-Hop Artist. On one hand, Pop Smoke’s “Shoot For the Stars, Aim for the Moon” has been a roaring success for more than a year based on sales and streams, and he will get a lot of love due to his untimely passing. This is the hardest category to predict for hip-hop. Plus, “Up” is arguably the biggest hit nominated here anyways, with the only other number-one being Polo G‘s “Rapstar.” A win here would give Cardi her third win, after “Bodak Yellow” and “WAP.” That would extend her record as the biggest winner in the category. The rest of the nominees are all hits, but none of the artists have a fan base as big as Cardi’s, which is important due to the AMAs being a fan-voted award. SEE 2022 Grammy predictions: Song of the Year Favorite Hip-Hop Songīut don’t worry Cardi fans, “Up” is likely to take this award. While I think they have a more or less equal shot at the prize, I’ll go with Megan: she might get more votes due to being more active right now - she just released “Something for Thee Hotties,” a compilation album of freestyles and archival songs - and a lot of people might want to see a newer artist win here. Furthermore, Cardi is a past category winner, so we know she has a big voting fan base. Cardi had a big year in her own right, with her number-one hit “Up” being one of the defining 2021 songs. The former might have more hype right now, being one of the biggest breakthrough acts of the last couple of years and notching multiple big hits like “Thot Shit” and “Body.” Megan also has a lot of fans, though that’s also true of Cardi B.
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Like its male counterpart, this category has two front-runners: Megan Thee Stallion and Cardi B.